NBA: Top 20 Active Players with Best Chances of Making Hall of Fame
Take an NBA player’s career points per game and throw in average assists and rebounds. Note his All-Star Game selections and number of titles won. Account for the era he played in, and, oddly, his height.
Add some math and now you have a formula that portends to predict which active players have the best chances of making the Basketball Hall of Fame, according to my source, basketball-reference.com. The site’s model and method is explained here.
The results are mostly obvious, but there are a few surprises.
Of course, Kobe Bryant is a shoo-in. He’s the only active with a 100% chance of becoming a Hall of Famer. But it might as well be 100% for the whole top 10. All of these guys are getting in. Chris Paul might be the questionable one here, but if the second half of his career mirrors his first, he’s in.
Players filling up Nos. 11-20, are more debatable.
You have to believe Kevin Durant will rise way up in the rankings as the older cagers hang it up in the next few years. Durant is on his way, already with four scoring titles, four All-Star appearances, a Finals appearance and the Rookie of the Year in his first six seasons. That’s a “Wow.”
Finally, Steve Nash, one of the greatest point guards in NBA history and a back-to-back MVP media darling. Of course he’s making the trip to Springfield, Mass. What’s he doing at just 57%?
One more note on Hall of Fame eligibility – a player must be retired a full five years before making the ballot. OK – one more thing to note – the NBA is the least stringent of all the major sports in keeping players out of the Hall of Fame. Don’t be surprised if all these guys make it in.Follow @VinGetz
|PLAYER||HALL OF FAME CHANCES (%)||CURRENT TEAM|
|1.||Kobe Bryant||100||Los Angeles Lakers|
|2.||Tim Duncan||99.99||San Antonio Spurs|
|3.||Kevin Garnett||99.90||Boston Celtics|
|4.||LeBron James||99.87||Miami Heat|
|5.||Dwyane Wade||99.78||Miami Heat|
|6.||Dirk Nowitzki||98.73||Dallas Mavericks|
|7.||Paul Pierce||98.28||Boston Celtics|
|8.||Jason Kidd||95.55||New York Knicks|
|9.||Ray Allen||92.81||Miami Heat|
|10.||Chris Paul||89.29||Los Angeles Clippers|
|11.||Chris Bosh||89.17||Miami Heat|
|12.||Tony Parker||82.81||San Antonio Spurs|
|13.||Carmelo Anthony||80.81||New York Knicks|
|14.||Dwight Howard||80.66||Los Angeles Lakers|
|15.||Vince Carter||78.19||Dallas Mavericks|
|16.||Kevin Durant||70.04||Oklahoma City Thunder|
|17.||Pau Gasol||61.30||Los Angeles Lakers|
|18.||Tracy McGrady||58.22||Atlanta Hawks|
|19.||Amare Stoudemire||57.19||New York Knicks|
|20.||Steve Nash||56.93||Los Angeles Lakers|
Posted on February 10, 2013, in NBA and tagged Basketball, best, carmelo anthony, chris bosh, dwight howard, hall of fame, kobe bryant, lebron james, List, make, making, nba, players, sport list of the day, top. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a Comment.